Chiyambi: Lipoti la Wood Mackenzie likulosera kuti mkati mwa zaka khumi, lithiamu iron phosphate idzalowa m'malo mwa lithiamu manganese cobalt oxide ngati mankhwala osungira mphamvu osasinthasintha.
Mkulu wa bungwe la Tesla, Elon Musk, anati mu pempho lake lopeza ndalama: “Ngati mukumba nickel m'njira yothandiza komanso yosamala chilengedwe, Tesla ikupatsani pangano lalikulu.” Katswiri wa ku America, Wood Mackenzie, akulosera kuti mkati mwa zaka khumi, lithiamu iron phosphate (LFP) idzalowa m'malo mwa lithiamu manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) ngati malo osungira mphamvu osasinthasintha.
Komabe, Musk wakhala akuchirikiza kwa nthawi yaitali kuchotsa cobalt mu batire, kotero mwina nkhaniyi si yoipa kwa iye.
Malinga ndi deta ya Wood Mackenzie, mabatire a lithiamu iron phosphate (LFP) anali 10% ya msika wosungira mphamvu zomwe sizimagulidwa mu 2015. Kuyambira pamenepo, kutchuka kwawo kwakwera kwambiri ndipo kudzatenga msika woposa 30% pofika chaka cha 2030.
Kukwera kumeneku kunayamba chifukwa cha kusowa kwa mabatire a NMC ndi zida zake kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2018 komanso koyambirira kwa chaka chatha. Popeza magalimoto onse osungira mphamvu osasuntha komanso magalimoto amagetsi (ev) agwiritsidwa ntchito mwachangu, mfundo yakuti magawo awiriwa amagawana momwe mabatire amagwirira ntchito yapangitsa kuti pakhale kusowa kwa mabatire.
Katswiri wamkulu wa Wood Mackenzie, Mitalee Gupta, anati: "Chifukwa cha nthawi yayitali yoperekera zinthu ku NMC komanso mtengo wokhazikika, ogulitsa a LFP ayamba kulowa mumsika woletsedwa ndi NMC pamtengo wopikisana, kotero LFP ndi yokongola pakugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu ndi magetsi."
Chinthu chimodzi chomwe chimapangitsa kuti LFP ilamulire ndi kusiyana pakati pa mtundu wa batri yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito posungira mphamvu ndi mtundu wa batri yomwe imagwiritsidwa ntchito m'magalimoto amagetsi, chifukwa zidazo zidzakhudzidwa ndi luso lowonjezera komanso luso lapadera.
Dongosolo lamakono losungira mphamvu la lithiamu-ion lili ndi phindu lochepa komanso phindu lochepa pazachuma pamene nthawi ikupitirira maola 4-6, kotero kusungira mphamvu kwa nthawi yayitali kukufunika mwachangu. Gupta adati akuyembekezeranso kuti mphamvu yobwezeretsa mphamvu komanso kuchuluka kwa mphamvu zidzapitirira patsogolo kuposa kuchuluka kwa mphamvu ndi kudalirika kwa msika wosungira mphamvu wosasinthika, womwe mabatire a LFP onse amatha kuunika.
Ngakhale kukula kwa LFP pamsika wa mabatire a magalimoto amagetsi sikuli kwakukulu monga momwe zilili pankhani yosungira mphamvu zosasinthika, lipoti la Wood Mackenzie linanena kuti mapulogalamu apakompyuta okhala ndi lithiamu iron phosphate sanganyalanyazidwe.
Mankhwalawa ndi otchuka kale pamsika wamagalimoto amagetsi aku China ndipo akuyembekezeka kutchuka padziko lonse lapansi. WoodMac ikuneneratu kuti pofika chaka cha 2025, LFP idzakhala ndi mabatire opitilira 20% a mabatire onse amagetsi omwe aikidwa.
Katswiri wamkulu wa kafukufuku wa Wood Mackenzie, Milan Thakore, adati mphamvu yayikulu yogwiritsira ntchito LFP m'magalimoto amagetsi ichokera pakukonza mankhwala okhudzana ndi kulemera kwa mphamvu komanso ukadaulo wopakira mabatire.
Nthawi yotumizira: Sep-16-2020