Mkulu wa kampani ya Tesla, Elon Musk, adanena poyimba ndalama kuti: "Ngati mutakumba nickel m'njira yothandiza komanso yosamalira zachilengedwe, Tesla adzakupatsani mgwirizano waukulu." Wofufuza waku America Wood Mackenzie akuneneratu kuti mkati mwa zaka khumi, lithiamu iron phosphate (LFP) m'malo mwa lithiamu manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) ngati malo osungira mphamvu zamagetsi.

Komabe, Musk wakhala akuthandizira kuchotsedwa kwa cobalt mu batri, kotero mwina nkhaniyi siili yoipa kwa iye.

Malinga ndi deta ya Wood Mackenzie, mabatire a lithiamu iron phosphate (LFP) adawerengera 10% ya msika wosungirako magetsi okhazikika mu 2015. Kuyambira nthawi imeneyo, kutchuka kwawo kwakwera kwambiri ndipo kudzatenga 30% ya msika pofika 2030.

Kukwera uku kudayamba chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa mabatire a NMC ndi zigawo zake kumapeto kwa 2018 komanso koyambirira kwa chaka chatha.Popeza zonse zosungiramo mphamvu zoyima komanso magalimoto amagetsi (ev) atumizidwa mwachangu, kuti magawo awiriwa amagawana chemistry ya batri yadzetsa kusowa.

Katswiri wamkulu wa Wood Mackenzie, Mitalee Gupta adati: "Chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa kayendetsedwe kazakudya za NMC komanso mtengo wocheperako, ogulitsa LFP ayamba kulowa mumsika woletsedwa ndi NMC pamtengo wopikisana, kotero LFP ndiyokongola pakugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu ndi mphamvu. ."

Chinthu chimodzi chomwe chikuyendetsa kulamulira koyembekezeka kwa LFP kudzakhala kusiyana pakati pa mtundu wa batri womwe umagwiritsidwa ntchito posungira mphamvu ndi mtundu wa batri womwe umagwiritsidwa ntchito pamagalimoto amagetsi, chifukwa zipangizozo zidzakhudzidwa ndi kuwonjezereka ndi luso lapadera.

Njira yamakono yosungiramo mphamvu ya lithiamu-ion ili ndi kubweza kuchepa komanso kupindula kwachuma pamene kuyendayenda kumadutsa maola 4-6, kotero kusungirako mphamvu kwa nthawi yaitali kumafunika mwamsanga.Gupta adati akuyembekezanso kuti kuchira kwakukulu komanso kuchuluka kwachangu kudzakhala patsogolo kuposa kachulukidwe wamagetsi komanso kudalirika kwa msika wosungira mphamvu, onse omwe mabatire a LFP amatha kuwala.

Ngakhale kukula kwa LFP pamsika wa batri yamagetsi amagetsi sikuli kodabwitsa monga momwe amasungirako magetsi osasunthika, lipoti la Wood Mackenzie lidawonetsa kuti mafoni apakompyuta okhala ndi lithiamu iron phosphate sangathe kunyalanyazidwa.

Mankhwalawa ndiwodziwika kale pamsika wamagalimoto amagetsi aku China ndipo akuyembekezeka kukopa chidwi padziko lonse lapansi.WoodMac imalosera kuti pofika chaka cha 2025, LFP idzawerengera mabatire opitilira 20% a mabatire onse agalimoto yamagetsi.

Wofufuza wamkulu wa Wood Mackenzie, a Milan Thakore, adati mphamvu yayikulu yogwiritsira ntchito LFP pamagalimoto amagetsi idzabwera chifukwa cha kusintha kwa mankhwalawo potengera kulemera kwamphamvu komanso ukadaulo wonyamula batire.